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Construction unemployment was 3.5% in September, and ABC’s state estimates run from 1.7% in Maryland to 9.5% in North Dakota

BLS put the national construction unemployment rate at 3.5% in September 2026. ABC’s state estimates, built by Markstein Advisors from BLS data, put every state below 10%, from 1.7% in Maryland to 9.5% in North Dakota.

U.S. rate, September 2026
3.5%BLS household survey
From September 2025
−0.3points, from 3.8%
Lowest state
1.7%Maryland
Highest state
9.5%North Dakota

Every state’s estimate sat below 10%, and most fell between 2% and 5%

2.0%3.0%4.0%5.0%6.0%7.0%8.0%9.0%10.0%U.S. rate, BLS: 3.5%MDNCGATNSCUTFLNHALIDINRIIAMEMOOHORVTCAPANECONVWIKSWAARMSNJKYILSDTXMTVADELANMOKHIAZWVNYCTWYMAMIMNAKNDMaryland 1.7%lowest Septemberon recordNorth Dakota 9.5%up 5.6 points from a year earlierESTIMATED CONSTRUCTION UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, SEPTEMBER 2026, IN HALF-POINT BINS 1.5MDNC2.0GATNSCUTFLNH2.5ALIDINRIIAME3.0MOOHORVTCAPA3.5NECONVWIKSWAARMSNJKY4.0ILSDTXMTVADELANMOKHI4.5AZWVNY5.0CTWY5.5MAMI6.06.5MN7.07.5AK8.08.59.09.5NDU.S. rate 3.5%RATE, %, HALF-POINT BINSNorth Dakota, up 5.6 pointsMaryland, record low
Each tile is one state, placed by its estimated construction unemployment rate for September 2026, not seasonally adjusted, in half-point bins. Color compares it with September 2025. State figures are model estimates from ABC and Markstein Advisors and can be updated next month. Delaware and Hawaii include mining and logging. Source: ABC state construction unemployment rate tables; U.S. rate from BLS via FRED.

The unemployment rate for construction workers was 3.5% in September 2026, not seasonally adjusted, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics household survey. That is 0.3 percentage point below September 2025 and 0.4 point above August. On October 30, Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) published state estimates for the same month, built by Markstein Advisors from BLS data. They put every state below 10%, with Maryland lowest at 1.7% and North Dakota highest at 9.5%.

The national rate

The U.S. rate was 3.5% in September, 0.3 point below a year earlier

In the 25 months charted below, September ties for the fifth-lowest of 24 monthly readings. It sits under the 4.8% average for the last 12 months, an average of 11 readings because October 2025 has no value.

September 2026 came in at 3.5%, below 3.8% in September 2025

02%4%6%8%SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepNo value forOctober 2025Sep 2025: 3.8%Sep 20263.5%Feb 2025: 7.2%Jan 2026: 7.1%Sep 2024 to Sep 2025Sep 2025 to Sep 2026 02%4%6%8%SepNovJanMarMayJulSepNo value forOct 20253.8%3.5%2024 to 20252025 to 2026
Unemployment rate, construction industry, private wage and salary workers, percent, not seasonally adjusted. Each line runs from one September to the next. The series has no value for October 2025. Source: BLS via FRED, series LNU04032231.

Without seasonal adjustment, the rate generally rises in the fall and winter and falls in late spring and summer, ABC’s background note explains, so the September-to-September comparison is the one to read. The 0.4-point rise from August is smaller than last year’s, when the rate went from 3.2% in August 2025 to 3.8% in September.

U.S. construction unemployment rate, last 13 months, not seasonally adjusted. Source: FRED.
MonthRate, %From prior month, ptsFrom a year earlier, pts
Sep 20253.8+0.6+0.1
Oct 2025No value
Nov 20254.1−0.5
Dec 20255.0+0.9−0.2
Jan 20267.1+2.1+0.6
Feb 20266.9−0.2−0.3
Mar 20266.7−0.2+1.3
Apr 20263.8−2.9−1.8
May 20264.1+0.3+0.6
Jun 20264.7+0.6+1.3
Jul 20263.7−1.0+0.3
Aug 20263.1−0.6−0.1
Sep 20263.5+0.4−0.3

What moved

BLS counted 359,000 unemployed construction workers in September, down from 404,000 a year earlier

September 2025

404,000

September 2026

359,000

Unemployed construction workers, not seasonally adjusted. Source: BLS Table A-14.

BLS Table A-14 counts 359,000 unemployed construction workers in September 2026, down from 404,000 a year earlier. A worker is counted as unemployed in construction if construction was the last industry they worked in and they looked for work in the prior four weeks.

ABC’s state numbers are estimates. BLS publishes a monthly construction unemployment rate only for the nation, so Markstein Advisors runs a model on state employment and unemployment data to produce one for each state.

The standings

North Dakota rose 5.6 points from a year earlier, and no other state rose more than 1.7

The low end is mostly the Southeast. After Maryland come North Carolina at 1.8%, Georgia and Tennessee at 2.1%, and South Carolina and Utah at 2.2%. ABC says Maryland’s 1.7% is its lowest September reading on record, and North Carolina and Tennessee had their second-lowest.

The high end is the Upper Midwest, plus Alaska and Massachusetts. North Dakota (9.5%), Alaska (7.5%), Minnesota (6.7%), Michigan (5.8%) and Massachusetts (5.5%) have the five highest estimates. North Dakota is the outlier in the year-over-year column too, up 5.6 points from 3.9% in September 2025. No other state rose more than 1.7 points (Hawaii, where the estimate also counts mining and logging). Alaska’s estimate more than doubled in a month, from 3.2% in August to 7.5%, though it was 6.3% in September 2025, so the year-over-year rise is 1.2 points.

Estimated construction unemployment rate by state, September 2026

Ranked lowest to highestPercent and percentage points, not seasonally adjusted

Estimated construction unemployment rates by state, not seasonally adjusted, ranked lowest to highest for September 2026.
StateDivision05%10%Sep 2026Aug 2026Sep 2025Chg from Sep 2025Sep 2019Chg from Sep 2019
MarylandSouth Atlantic1.71.72.1−0.44.7−3.0
North CarolinaSouth Atlantic1.81.62.2−0.41.6+0.2
GeorgiaSouth Atlantic2.11.82.0+0.11.9+0.2
TennesseeEast South Central2.12.02.4−0.32.3−0.2
South CarolinaSouth Atlantic2.22.32.7−0.51.5+0.7
UtahMountain2.22.12.6−0.41.6+0.6
FloridaSouth Atlantic2.32.22.4−0.12.2+0.1
New HampshireNew England2.33.44.6−2.32.30.0
AlabamaEast South Central2.72.32.2+0.53.0−0.3
IdahoMountain2.71.92.70.03.1−0.4
IndianaEast North Central2.72.22.70.04.0−1.3
Rhode IslandNew England2.73.34.0−1.37.1−4.4
IowaWest North Central2.92.53.0−0.14.3−1.4
MaineNew England2.92.12.8+0.14.2−1.3
MissouriWest North Central3.02.63.2−0.22.3+0.7
OhioEast North Central3.02.13.7−0.75.5−2.5
OregonPacific3.03.04.1−1.13.3−0.3
VermontNew England3.12.33.5−0.42.7+0.4
CaliforniaPacific3.22.83.6−0.43.20.0
PennsylvaniaMiddle Atlantic3.33.64.4−1.12.7+0.6
NebraskaWest North Central3.52.84.4−0.92.6+0.9
ColoradoMountain3.63.53.7−0.11.9+1.7
NevadaMountain3.62.23.9−0.32.7+0.9
WisconsinEast North Central3.62.13.0+0.64.0−0.4
KansasWest North Central3.73.64.0−0.33.3+0.4
WashingtonPacific3.73.34.1−0.44.7−1.0
ArkansasWest South Central3.83.24.3−0.52.7+1.1
MississippiEast South Central3.82.64.1−0.34.4−0.6
New JerseyMiddle Atlantic3.83.65.1−1.32.1+1.7
KentuckyEast South Central3.92.93.7+0.24.4−0.5
IllinoisEast North Central4.03.84.5−0.52.9+1.1
South DakotaWest North Central4.13.22.6+1.52.5+1.6
TexasWest South Central4.13.64.2−0.12.5+1.6
MontanaMountain4.22.84.9−0.73.1+1.1
VirginiaSouth Atlantic4.23.34.0+0.23.5+0.7
Delaware*South Atlantic4.33.74.8−0.52.3+2.0
LouisianaWest South Central4.33.45.6−1.33.8+0.5
New MexicoMountain4.33.84.30.04.2+0.1
OklahomaWest South Central4.34.14.2+0.12.2+2.1
Hawaii*Pacific4.43.32.7+1.76.1−1.7
ArizonaMountain4.54.24.8−0.34.3+0.2
West VirginiaSouth Atlantic4.74.24.6+0.15.3−0.6
New YorkMiddle Atlantic4.84.05.0−0.24.2+0.6
ConnecticutNew England5.03.74.1+0.92.1+2.9
WyomingMountain5.23.77.1−1.94.3+0.9
MassachusettsNew England5.54.65.7−0.23.7+1.8
MichiganEast North Central5.85.25.80.05.4+0.4
MinnesotaWest North Central6.75.25.8+0.94.5+2.2
AlaskaPacific7.53.26.3+1.28.8−1.3
North DakotaWest North Central9.57.03.9+5.64.5+5.0
Bars show September 2026 on a scale from 0 to 10%; the black mark shows September 2025. Changes in brick are rises from September 2025. *Delaware and Hawaii include mining and logging. The state figures are model estimates and can be updated next month. Source: ABC and Markstein Advisors, state construction unemployment rate tables. Download the data (CSV).

The comparison point

32 states were below their September 2025 rate, and 44 rose from August

Counted from ABC’s spreadsheet, 32 states had a lower estimated rate than in September 2025, 14 had a higher one and four were unchanged. The monthly count leans the other way. ABC reports that 44 states rose from August to September, four fell (New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and South Carolina) and two were flat (Maryland and Oregon).

Against September 2019, 31 states were higher and 17 lower

From September 202514 higher4 unchanged32 lowerFrom August 202644 higher2 unchanged4 lowerFrom September 201931 higher2 unchanged17 lower From September 202514 higher4 unchanged32 lowerFrom August 202644 higher2 unchanged4 lowerFrom September 201931 higher2 unchanged17 lower
One square per state, comparing each state’s estimated construction unemployment rate for September 2026 with the month named at left, not seasonally adjusted. Counted from ABC’s state tables; the monthly count matches ABC’s release.

So the comparison point matters. ABC says 39 states are below their February 2020 rates. Compared with September 2019, the same month before the pandemic, 17 states are lower, 31 are higher and California and New Hampshire are unchanged.

ABC also notes that payroll construction employment, which comes from a separate survey of employers, was 103,000 higher than in September 2025 before seasonal adjustment, and 8.4 million after it. Bernard Markstein, who ran the analysis, pointed to large projects as one cause:

“Data center construction is also absorbing a significant share of available skilled labor and contributing to elevated building materials prices.”

The state tables do not split the unemployed by project type, so that link is his reading of the market.

How to use this number

Read a state’s September rate against its rate a year earlier

The state estimate is a rough measure of how many idle, experienced construction workers are in the labor pool where you hire. Two practical uses:

  1. Before you price labor-heavy work in another state, look up its September rate and its change from a year ago. A rate near 2%, as in Maryland, the Carolinas, Georgia or Tennessee, means few experienced workers are looking. If you plan to hire locally there, budget for higher wages or for travel and per diem to bring crews in. A rate above 5% with a rising trend points to more local applicants.
  2. Track your own time to fill field positions, in calendar days from posting to start date, by state. If your time to fill in a state stays flat while its estimated rate fell by a point over the year, your recruiting is holding up against a tighter market. If both move the wrong way, raise your wage assumptions on the next bid there.

For both uses, compare a month with the same month a year earlier.

Revisions and caveats

August was not revised, and the state estimates can change next month

The national rate comes from the Current Population Survey, the monthly household survey that ABC’s background note puts at roughly 60,000 households. The prior month was not revised. August’s 3.1% was the same in the September 4 and October 2 versions of the series in ALFRED, the St. Louis Fed’s archive of past data versions. BLS introduces new population controls each January, and the A-14 table notes that 2025 data use a new industry classification and are not strictly comparable with earlier years. That limits how much weight the 2019 comparisons can carry.

The construction rate also comes from a small subset of the survey, so it has more sampling error than the overall rate. ABC’s background note says a monthly move may come from sampling error and that a sustained trend over several months is more reliable.

The state figures carry two more layers of uncertainty. They are model estimates, and Markstein Advisors updates past months when states revise their employment data, so a state’s August or September value can change next month. Delaware and Hawaii are estimated for construction, mining and logging combined. For a small state such as North Dakota or Alaska, treat a single month’s jump as a reading to confirm against October’s estimate.